Analyst Predicts $50 XRP by December 2025 if ETFs Get Greenlight
XRP's price outlook is drawing attention as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) prepares to make decisions on multiple spot ETF applications by late October 2025. Analysts suggest that the outcomes of these decisions could influence billions of dollars in institutional funds flowing into XRP before the year's end.
Key Points
- ETF Applications: Six issuers are awaiting SEC review for their spot ETF applications, raising expectations.
- Predicted Inflows: Initial inflows through ETFs could exceed $5 billion in the first month, potentially reaching $10-$18 billion by the end of 2025.
- Supply Constraints: The effective supply of XRP is limited, with about 35 billion tokens locked in escrow.
- Price Forecast: Analyst Pumpius predicts XRP could surge to $50 by December 2025 if ETFs are approved.
In-Depth Analysis
As the SEC's review of ETF applications approaches, market participants are eagerly anticipating XRP's future. Following the resolution of Ripple's legal battles, analysts express growing confidence in the potential of ETFs. Pumpius emphasizes that should ETFs launch in Q4 and inflows reach the higher estimates, XRP's price could see significant upward movement.It's crucial to note that the supply of XRP is relatively scarce, with 35 billion tokens currently held in escrow, limiting the circulating supply. This tight supply-demand dynamic could lead to sharp price movements should demand spike. Historical precedents show that similar scenarios occurred for Bitcoin and Ethereum prior to their ETF approvals, often resulting in rapid market reactions.
Market Impact
If the SEC approves these spot ETFs in October, it will provide regulated investment avenues for pensions, wealth managers, and corporate treasuries. This could test XRP's liquidity and may force larger holders to adjust their positions as new demand emerges. Conversely, a rejection of the applications would likely push expectations for a breakout rally further into the future.Currently, XRP is trading at $2.84, and traders are weighing whether a path to $50 is realistic. As the SEC's decision date nears, participants are anxious about potential price fluctuations.
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